Is the Economic Recovery Already Underway?

//Is the Economic Recovery Already Underway?

Is the Economic Recovery Already Underway?

Is the Economic Recovery Already Underway? | Simplifying The Market

The Wall Street Journal just released their latest monthly Survey of Economists. In an article on the findings, they reported:

“The U.S. economy will be in recovery by the third quarter of this year, economists said in a survey that also concluded the labor market will fare better than previously expected following the effects of the coronavirus pandemic.”

Clearly, the latest jobs report from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics confirmed the labor market is outperforming expectations, as it revealed that 2.5 million jobs were added. Directly before the release, experts forecasted that we would lose over 8 million jobs.

A second revelation indicating the economy is already about to turn around was also somewhat unexpected. More than 9 out of 10 economists surveyed believe the recovery has already begun this quarter or will begin in the third quarter. Here are the results of the survey question asking when the recovery will begin:Is the Economic Recovery Already Underway? | Simplifying The MarketThe survey also asked what type of recovery the economists expect.

More than 8 out of 10 believe it will be a form of a ‘V’ recovery:

  • A true ‘V’ with a sharp drop and a sharp rebound
  • A ‘Nike Swoosh’ with a sharp drop and a more gradual recovery, coined after the company’s logo

Some experts, possibly concerned about a second wave of COVID-19, call for a ‘W’ recovery – a double dip recession.

Others call for a ‘U’ with a prolonged bottom.

A very small percentage project the dreaded ‘L’ recovery, which is no recovery at all for the foreseeable future (think of the Great Recession).

Here’s the breakdown:Is the Economic Recovery Already Underway? | Simplifying The Market

Bottom Line

Though we still have a long and difficult journey ahead, it appears the worst for both the economy and the unemployment situation may be in our rearview mirror.

By | 2020-06-17T03:00:06-07:00 June 17th, 2020|blog|Comments Off on Is the Economic Recovery Already Underway?

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Jeff and Jane Daley started their careers in real estate after taking early retirement from the corporate world. They enjoy partnering with clients to meet their goals in real estate. Their success in getting it done right for their clients is their belief in education. University and formal real estate courses have been imperative in staying up to date for the benefit of their clients and their business. The Daley's started in real estate in 1999 and have helped hundreds of clients buy or sell their homes successfully. Their fiduciary responsibility to their clients is always a top priority. MILITARY SERVICE: Jeff is a U.S. Army combat veteran and served with distinction in Vietnam. Jeff and Jane Daley located their business in Scottsdale, Arizona. Their team also serves the adjacent communities of Carefree, Cave Creek, Chandler, Glendale, Mesa, Paradise Valley, Phoenix. Jeff is also available as a media resource for interviews and/or articles.